Sunday Dec 07, 2025

Fed Week: Will Rates Bring Cash or Coal?

Fresh news and strategies for traders. SPY Trader episode #1449. This week hinges entirely on the FOMC's final rate decision of the year. Markets are pricing in an 87% chance of a 25 basis point cut, fueling hopes for a 'Santa Claus Rally.' We examine the key employment (JOLTS, ECI) and inflation (PPI) data supporting this move. Plus, crucial AI checkups via earnings from Adobe, Oracle, and Broadcom. Our trade plan maintains a slightly Overweight equity stance, utilizing QQQ and IWM for tactical upside on a cut, while hedging risk with BND.

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