
Thursday Mar 20, 2025
Market Musings: Midday Update
Fresh news and strategies for traders. SPY Trader episode #1035. Hey there, Spy Traders! It's your pal, Penny Stockings, here with your midday market update. It's 6 pm on Thursday, March 20th, 2025, Pacific time, and things are…well, let's just say the market's got a case of the Thursdays. What do you call a group of taxes? A clustfund. Okay, let's dive into the nittygritty. The big news is that the market's giving us mixed signals. We bounced back a little from that correction scare, but major indexes like the S&P 500, Dow, and Nasdaq all edged lower today. The S&P 500 slipped 0.2%, the Dow Jones dipped a tiny bit, and the Nasdaq fell 0.3%. Yeartodate, we're still down, with the US500 index off by over 4%. So, yeah, it's been a rough start to 2025. Now, sectorwise, things are shifting. The big megacap US stocks aren't leading the pack anymore; Europe is. Energy and Utilities did well recently, while Consumer Cyclicals and Consumer Defensives took a hit. Tech, our old favorite, is lagging a bit due to trade war worries, though some folks still think it's got growth potential. Value stocks are outperforming growth, which is something to keep an eye on. Speaking of worries, that trade war with President Trump's tariffs is causing major market jitters. People are worried about prices going up and the economy slowing down. The Federal Reserve is keeping interest rates steady, but they're also acknowledging the increased uncertainty. Growth estimates are getting lowered, and consumer spending might be slowing down. Companywise, we got some earnings reports coming up tomorrow from Carnival Corporation, NIO Inc., and Biofrontera Inc. Accenture's stock took a hit because of potential government spending cuts. Tesla's also struggling with the same worries. On the bright side, Boeing's stock got a boost from a deal with Japan Airlines. Nvidia tried to calm fears about slowing AI demand. And General Mills? They cut their forecasts because of the uncertain economy. So, what should you do? Well, Fidelity says these market stumbles are normal and to stick to your longterm plan. Morningstar suggests overweighting value and smallcap stocks and underweighting growth stocks. Goldman Sachs lowered their S&P 500 forecast. BlackRock is still overweight on US stocks, hoping the policy uncertainty will ease. My advice? Focus on the fundamentals, think longterm, and pay attention to valuations. Consider value and smallcap stocks. Diversify your portfolio and maybe use dollarcost averaging to ride out the volatility. Be selective with your stock picks and do your research. Index funds are always a good option for diversification. Remember, folks, there's a lot of uncertainty out there, so buckle up for more volatility. Manage your risk and don't panic sell. This isn't financial advice; just your pal Penny trying to make sense of it all. Until next time, happy trading!
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