The SPY Trader

Welcome to ’The SPY Trader,’ your essential audio resource for trading insights. Broadcasting every few hours, our podcast delivers timely summaries of critical news impacting the markets, expert analysis, and trading recommendations. Whether you’re a seasoned trader or just starting, tune in to stay ahead of market trends and refine your trading strategy with actionable insights. This podcast is AI-generated. Disclaimer: The information provided on ’The SPY Trader’ podcast is for educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice. Trading in financial markets involves significant risk, and decisions should be based on your own due diligence and consultation with a professional financial advisor where appropriate. The creators of ’The SPY Trader’ assume no responsibility for any financial losses or gains you may incur as a result of information presented on this podcast. Listener discretion is advised.

Listen on:

  • Apple Podcasts
  • YouTube
  • Podbean App
  • Spotify
  • Amazon Music
  • iHeartRadio
  • PlayerFM
  • Podchaser
  • BoomPlay

Episodes

Saturday Jun 07, 2025

Fresh news and strategies for traders. SPY Trader episode #1222.
Hey everyone, it's your pal Bubba Butters, and welcome back to Spy Trader! It's 6 am on Saturday, June 7th, 2025, here on the West Coast, and let's dive into what's been shaking up the market.
So, the big story is that the US stock market had another solid week. The S&P 500 even cracked 6000 points on Friday, which is pretty exciting! Seems like almost everything is up, with the S&P 500 gaining 1.03% on Friday and the Morningstar US Market Index rising 1.65% for the week. Smallcap stocks led the charge, with the Russell 2000 jumping over 3%. Even the Nasdaq and Dow are joining the party, ending the week in positive territory for the year. Growth stocks particularly did well, rising 2.82%.
Tech and Communication Services are the cool kids right now. Tech stocks are up over 3%, boosted by all the AI buzz. On the flip side, Consumer Defensives and Consumer Cyclicals are lagging behind, both down over 1%.
In other news, the May jobs report came in better than expected, with 139,000 new jobs. The unemployment rate is still holding steady at 4.2%. But, it seems trade tensions between the US and China are heating up again, even after that brief tariff truce we had back in May. Remember that drama with the EU tariffs? Well, that's been postponed for now while everyone's talking. Oh, and factory orders took a dive in April as that pretariff spending slowed down.
Now, for some deeper thoughts. The economy is still expected to grow, though Vanguard is predicting a more modest 1.5% for the year. Inflation is still something to keep an eye on. On the company front, Tesla seems to be bouncing back after some tension between Elon Musk and President Trump. Meta is making a big move into AI by partnering with Constellation Energy for a 20year power deal. A few companies like Venture Global, Fortrea, and ON Semiconductor, and Guidewire Software are really shining.
Alright, Bubba's gotta give you some actionable advice! I'm feeling cautiously optimistic. The market's got some pep in its step, but we can't ignore the trade drama and policy question marks. Given that tech and communication are doing great, consider leaning a bit more into those sectors. Maybe lay off the consumer stocks for now. Definitely keep your portfolio spread out to protect yourself. Trade negotiations are a big one to watch, along with what the Fed might do with interest rates. And hey, with the Russell 2000 doing so well, maybe throw a little love towards smallcap stocks. Also consider largecap, midcap and value stocks for diversification. Remember, this is just Bubba's opinion, so do your own homework before making any moves. Keep it real, and I'll catch you on the next Spy Trader!

Friday Jun 06, 2025

Fresh news and strategies for traders. SPY Trader episode #1221.
Hey, it's your pal, Penny Pincher, here with your afternoon edition of Spy Trader! It's 6 pm on Friday, June 6th, 2025, and let's dive into what's moving the markets. Today, the US500 hit 6000, climbing 1.03%. It's been a good month, up 6.55%, and a great year so far, up 12.22% from last year. However, on June 5th, the Dow and S&P 500 both dipped a bit. First off, the big news is the USChina trade situation. President Trump and President Xi had a chat amid rising trade tensions, even after that truce in Geneva. Keep an eye on this because any updates could really shake things up. On the economic front, the May jobs report came out, and it was better than expected! Nonfarm payrolls rose by 139,000, which is above the expected 130,000. That’s a good sign! But, remember GDP decreased in the first quarter. However, the trade deficit decreased in April, and personal income increased. Now, some companyspecific news: Broadcom's shares are taking a bit of a hit because their quarterly results were just okay. Lululemon's shares are really suffering after they warned about potentially raising prices due to tariffs. Ouch! And don't forget the MuskTrump drama! Apparently, White House aides had to step in after their public feud. Honestly, folks, all these factors paint a mixed picture. So, here's what I'm thinking: Given the uncertainty in trade, maybe consider rotating into more stable sectors like consumer staples and utilities. They tend to do well when things are shaky. I'd stay cautious and avoid making any wild moves, and as always, keep your focus on the long game. Look for companies with solid foundations and the potential to grow. And of course, diversify! Don't put all your eggs in one basket. Keep a close eye on the USChina trade situation. Any news there could swing the market. And remember, I'm just an AI Chatbot, not a financial advisor. This is just my take on things. Always talk to a pro before making any big decisions. Happy trading, and I'll catch you in a few hours!

Friday Jun 06, 2025

Fresh news and strategies for traders. SPY Trader episode #1220.
Hey everybody, it's your pal Moneybags McGee here, ready to break down what's shakin' in the market! It's 12 pm on Friday, June 6th, 2025, Pacific time, and the SPY is making moves. Let's dive right in.
So, the US500 index is sitting pretty at 6009 points, a solid 1.17% jump since yesterday. Zooming out, we're up nearly 7% over the last month and a sweet 12% compared to last year. The Dow's at 42,666, the NASDAQ's dancing around 19,513, and the S&P 500 is flirting with 6,000 at 5,993! Not too shabby!
Tech and energy stocks are leading the charge this week, which is a nice change of pace. Remember those consumer staples and utilities that were poppin' off in May? Well, energy and consumer discretionary took a little breather, letting others have their moment.
Now, for the headlines that are actually, you know, news. President Trump's doubleddown tariffs on foreign steel and aluminum are officially live. So far, the market's acting pretty chill about it, but we'll be watching. We've also got some court cases brewing over the President's tariff powers, so that's something to keep an eye on too. And some water companies can't hand out those juicy executive bonuses anymore. Boo hoo, right?
Walmart's trying to beat Amazon at their own game, expanding that drone delivery thing to more states. That's kinda cool. On the flip side, Tesla's stock is feeling a little blue because things got frosty between Donald Trump and Elon Musk. Ouch.
Macro time! GDP shrank a tiny bit in the first quarter, like 0.2%. But hey, last quarter in 2024, it grew 2.4%, so we're not freaking out yet. The job market is still looking good, with unemployment staying at 4.2%. Plus, we added more jobs than expected in April, which is a win. Inflation is... well, it's doing its thing. And that trade deficit shrunk a bit in April, so that's a positive. The monetary policy rate is still at 4.50%, where it ended last year. People are still spending money, with consumer spending up over one percent. But new orders for manufactured goods were down. Gotta keep an eye on that.
Earnings season just wrapped up, and it looks like companies did better than expected, with earnings coming in 10% above what everyone thought. The "Magnificent Seven" really brought their Agame. So, what does all this mean for your wallet?
Here's Moneybags' two cents: keep that portfolio nice and diverse. Don't put all your eggs in one basket, folks! Watch those economic numbers like a hawk – GDP, inflation, unemployment, the whole shebang. And maybe think about shifting some stuff around to take advantage of those tech and healthcare sectors. Oh, and stay informed, people! Read those headlines, listen to podcasts like this one, and know what's going on.
Remember, I'm just an AI Chatbot, so I can't give you actual financial advice. Do your own homework, talk to a real financial pro, and make smart choices. Until next time, this is Moneybags McGee, signing off!

Friday Jun 06, 2025

Fresh news and strategies for traders. SPY Trader episode #1219.
Hey there, Spy Traders! It's your pal, Wafflemeister, back at it again. It's 6 am on Friday, June 6th, 2025, Pacific time, and we're diving headfirst into the market mayhem. Buckle up, buttercups, because things are about to get… well, financially fascinating! So, the market's feeling cautiously optimistic. Like, 'Hey, maybe things won't completely implode!' but there's definitely a sense that we might be stuck in a trading range for a while, maybe 6 to 12 months. The S&P 500 has bounced back like a rubber chicken, up about 2% for the year and flirting with a record high. As of yesterday, the Dow was chilling around 42,490, the S&P 500 was at approximately 5,986, and the Nasdaq was hanging out near 19,529. May was a mixed bag, folks. Tech, Communication Services, and Consumer Cyclical sectors were strutting their stuff, while Healthcare, Energy, and Real Estate were kinda dragging their feet. Looking back at Q1, Energy, Healthcare, Consumer Staples, and Utilities were the cool kids, leaving Consumer Discretionary and Information Technology in the dust. Now, let's talk dollars and cents. Tech stocks are almost at fair value after a recent surge, but Communication Services? Still undervalued! Real Estate and Energy are also looking like a bargain bin. Our economy is slowing down. GDP growth is estimated to be between 0.1% and 1.5% for the year. Trump's new tariffs are expected to pump up prices, mess with supply chains, and basically make everyone a little poorer. Inflation could hit 2.83.0% in Q3. Unemployment is expected to rise, potentially reaching around 4.4% in Q3 and nearly 5% by mid2026. The Fed is likely to hold steady on interest rates for now, but potential cuts are on the horizon. Trade tensions between the US and China remain a major buzzkill. Even a phone call between Trump and Xi didn't calm the market nerves. Recent jobless claims data has raised eyebrows about the strength of the US labor market. Q1 earnings were strong, with S&P 500 companies reporting a 12.5% increase. However, some companies are issuing warnings due to the tariff situation. Broadcom (AVGO) and Lululemon (LULU) both reported earnings yesterday. ON Semiconductor (ON) jumped after its CEO mentioned demand recovering in key markets. Dollar General (DG) soared after crushing quarterly results and boosting its outlook. Some analysts believe the market has already found its high and low points for the year. Deutsche Bank analysts are shooting for the stars, raising their yearend S&P 500 target to 6,550. That's about a 10% upside from current levels. Fidelity sector managers are betting on growthoriented themes like cloud infrastructure, AI, and data centers for the Information Technology sector. They also see AI and digital advertising as growth drivers in Communication Services. Alright, here's where Wafflemeister drops some wisdom. First, diversify, diversify, diversify! Spread your investments like sprinkles on a waffle. International stocks are doing well, so don't be shy. Think about loading up on value stocks, as they might be a safer bet than growth stocks right now. Keep a close eye on those USChina trade talks. It's like watching a soap opera, but with money! Explore undervalued sectors like Communication Services, Real Estate, and Energy. Consider defensive sectors like Healthcare and Consumer Staples. Be patient, don't make rash decisions based on shortterm market jitters. Watch those economic indicators like a hawk – GDP growth, inflation, unemployment, the whole shebang. And finally, read those company earnings reports carefully to see how tariffs and other economic factors are affecting their bottom line. Remember, I'm just a Wafflemeister, not a financial guru. Always consult with a real financial advisor before making any big moves. Stay groovy, Spy Traders, and I'll catch you on the next dip… or rally!

Thursday Jun 05, 2025

Fresh news and strategies for traders. SPY Trader episode #1218.
Hey there, Spy Traders! It's your pal, Penny Pincher, back at it again. It's 6 pm on Thursday, June 5th, 2025, Pacific time, and we're diving headfirst into the market mayhem. Buckle up, because it's been a wild ride! First, let's recap the major headlines. Trade talks between the US and China are still a big question mark, even after a supposedly 'positive' phone call between the big bosses. Economic data is all over the place, with a shrinking trade deficit but higher jobless claims. And, oh boy, did you see the drama between President Trump and Elon Musk? Tesla's stock took a nosedive after that public spat! Now, let's get to the good stuff – the analysis. The market's feeling a bit like a teenager – cautiously optimistic but still unsure about everything. Some folks think we might be stuck in a trading range for a while, so don't expect any crazy moonshots just yet. Volatility is still lurking, so keep your eyes peeled. Tech stocks, especially chipmakers like Nvidia and Broadcom, have been shining, but Apple's taking a little nap. Energy's looking cheap, real estate's struggling, and your everyday consumer discretionary stocks are doing surprisingly well – Dollar General is proof of that! Speaking of winners, MongoDB absolutely crushed earnings! So, what's a savvy Spy Trader to do? First off, don't put all your eggs in one basket. International stocks are outperforming, so spread the love. Be cautious, because things could get bumpy. Morningstar is saying value stocks are the way to go. Keep a close watch on those USChina trade talks. Finally, keep an eye on the economic data, especially jobs and inflation numbers. Oh, and remember that the market's trading at a slight discount, and small caps might have a harder time right now. So, there you have it, folks! Stay diversified, stay informed, and for goodness sake, stay hydrated! Penny Pincher, signing off!

Thursday Jun 05, 2025

Fresh news and strategies for traders. SPY Trader episode #1217.
Hey everyone, it's your pal Moneybags McGee here, ready to dive into the thrilling world of finance on Spy Trader! It's 12 pm on Thursday, June 5th, 2025, Pacific Time, and the markets are giving us a bit of a mixed bag today. Let's break it down. The Dow is up slightly at 42,489.50, and the S&P 500 is also inching higher at 5,986.35. But the Nasdaq's the real story, making some gains at 19,528.70. Not bad, but remember, we had a killer fourday winning streak before today, so things are a little cautious as we await the big US jobs report.
So, what's making the market tick? Well, President Trump and President Xi Jinping had a chat, but it didn't exactly soothe those trade tensions, so that's still a big question mark hanging over us. Plus, jobless claims hit an eightmonth high, which is never good news for the labor market. Keep an eye out for earnings reports from Lululemon and Broadcom those could be market movers. Oh, and some data came out recently: Private payrolls and the services PMI weren't exactly setting the world on fire.
In company news, Empiric Student Property might get a new owner in Unite, Procter and Gamble is planning some job cuts. Ouch! About 7,000 positions are on the chopping block as part of a restructuring. On a brighter note, Young's is having a great start to the year because of the hot weather! Cheers to that!
Looking back at May, the stock market had a pretty sweet run. The Dow jumped nearly 4%, the S&P 500 climbed over 6%, and the Nasdaq soared almost 10%! The Russell 2000 also had a nice 5% gain. Tech, Communications, Consumer Discretionary, and Industrials led the charge. Healthcare, Energy, Real Estate, and others lagged behind. What a contrast from the first quarter when Information Technology really took a hit. Then Energy, Healthcare, and Consumer Staples actually did well.
Now, let's talk about the big picture. GDP growth expectations for 2025 are all over the place, which isn't exactly helpful, with Vanguard saying 1.5%, PIIE way down at 0.1%, Deloitte saying 2.6% and EY estimating just 0.6%. Unemployment might creep up a bit, and there's worry that tariffs will push up inflation. The Federal Reserve is probably going to hold steady on interest rates for now, but rate cuts could be on the horizon later this year. And guess what? Consumer sentiment is way down, hitting nearrecord lows.
Between trade wars, tariffs, and the Fed's next move, there's a lot weighing on the market. So, what's a savvy investor to do? Here’s my take: Be careful out there! There's still too much uncertainty to go allin on anything. Diversify your portfolio like it's your job. That means spreading your investments across different sectors and asset classes. Stick with highquality companies that have solid financials. With the Fed potentially cutting rates, highquality fixed income might be a good place to park some cash. My friends at Morgan Stanley are saying to favor US assets over nonUS right now. Bottom line: Keep a longterm perspective and don't panic sell at the first sign of trouble. The Technology sector is near fair value, so be cautious. Defensive sectors like Healthcare and Consumer Staples might offer some shelter if the economy slows down. Energy has been doing well, but watch out for potential oversupply in the oil market.
And that's a wrap for today's Spy Trader! Remember, I'm just a humble podcast host, not your personal financial advisor. This is all based on what's happening as of today, June 5th, 2025, and things can change fast. Do your own research and talk to a pro before making any big moves. Until next time, keep those portfolios diversified and stay frosty!

Thursday Jun 05, 2025

Fresh news and strategies for traders. SPY Trader episode #1216.
Alright, folks, buckle up, it's Spy Trader time with your pal, Penny Pincher! It's 6 am on Thursday, June 5th, 2025, and let's dive into what's shaking up the markets. Things are a little mixed up, kind of like my sock drawer after laundry day. After a snoozy Wednesday with notsogreat private payrolls and services PMI data keeping things in a range, futures are hinting at a slightly brighter start today. Yesterday, the Dow Jones took a little dip, down 0.22%, but the S&P 500 barely squeaked by with a tiny 0.01% increase, and the Nasdaq managed a 0.32% bump. Overall, the US500 is up about 1.61% since January 1st. Experts think it might hit around 5846 points by the end of this quarter. So, what's the deal? Well, everyone's got their eyes glued to the economic data. We've got the official jobs report coming out tomorrow, Friday, June 6th, and the CPI data dropping on June 11th. With those weak private payroll numbers, that jobs report is now like, super important. The Fed is probably gonna sit tight on interest rates at their June 18th meeting, although some folks are whispering about a tiny rate cut. Meanwhile, across the pond, the European Central Bank might actually cut rates. And of course, we can't forget about those trade tensions. Remember the 'TACO trade'? Buy on tariff news, sell on delays? Well, new tariffs on China are on hold for 90 days, and the EU tariffs deadline got pushed to July 9th. Geopolitical tensions, especially with Ukraine and Russia, are still a headache too. Okay, company news time! MongoDB and Five Below are bragging about some sweet quarterly results. ON Semi's CEO is seeing some sunshine in key markets. Tesla, though, is still doing the rollercoaster because of sales and their CEO is hanging out with President Trump. Apple's cooking up a software kit to let others play with Apple Intelligence, and Nike is sweating over those potential tariff troubles. Now for the nittygritty. The OECD thinks US economic growth is gonna slow down a bit, like molasses in January, to around 1.6% this year and 1.5% next year. And get this, our GDP was actually negative 0.3% in the first quarter. Inflation, according to the Fed's favorite metric, is still running around 3.6%. And business folks? They're feeling kinda glum about the economy because of recession fears and tariff headaches. So, what does all this mean? Expect some market craziness, folks! Trade deals, geopolitical drama, and those pesky Treasury yields are gonna keep things interesting. We might just be stuck in a trading range for the rest of the year. Analysts are still hopeful for earnings growth this year, but those interest rates might throw a wrench in the works. Those Treasury yields are creeping up, making folks nervous about our fiscal situation, and don't expect any quick moves from the Fed on interest rates. What's a Penny to do? Well, diversification is your friend! International stocks are doing pretty well, so spread that love around. Maybe think about loading up on value stocks – those bargain bin deals. And ease up on those pricey growth stocks. Keep a close eye on those economic reports, especially jobs and CPI, they're like tea leaves for the Fed. And stay tuned to those trade headlines, they can move markets faster than you can say 'tariff'. Lastly, keep some cash handy! If the market takes another tumble, you wanna be ready to pounce on those sweet, sweet deals. Remember, I'm just a humble podcast host, not your financial advisor. Do your own homework, talk to a pro, and don't blame Penny if your portfolio goes sideways. Happy trading, y'all!

Wednesday Jun 04, 2025

Fresh news and strategies for traders. SPY Trader episode #1215.
Hey everyone, it's your pal Bubba Buckets here, and welcome to another edition of Spy Trader! It's 6 pm on Wednesday, June 4th, 2025, Pacific Time, and the markets have been keeping us on our toes. Let's dive right into what's been shaking Wall Street. First up, we've seen a bit of a mixed bag lately. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq have been feeling pretty good, racking up some wins, but the Dow? Well, it's been a bit of a rollercoaster. Overall, the market's been relatively calm, but don't get too comfy – experts are saying we should expect some more bumps in the road coming up. Now, onto the juicy news! Trade deals are still the talk of the town. Everyone's waiting to see what happens with those negotiations, especially with China. Remember President Trump's tariff plans? Well, the market's not quite as worried about them as it was before, but tensions are still simmering, so keep an eye on this space. On the employment front, things got a little shaky. The ADP report showed hiring slowed down more than expected. Apparently only 37,000 jobs were added in May, which is the lowest in over two years! This has people worried about what those trade uncertainties are doing to the job market. And speaking of Trump, he doubled tariffs on steel and aluminum imports, and he's still nudging the Fed to cut those interest rates. In company news, Nvidia is still making waves. Their earnings were fantastic, proving that demand is super strong. In fact, Nvidia got so pumped up, it even overtook Microsoft for a hot second as the most valuable company! Talk about a flex. Tesla is expecting sales to climb, especially in the U.K., with their new Model Y hitting the scene. Okay, let's talk sectors. Tech was the star of May, but now it's looking pretty fairly valued. Communication Services, on the other hand, might be the underdog we're all looking for. Experts think Meta and Alphabet could be diamonds in the rough. Now, let's break it down. Even though things might get a little wild, experts say to stick with your investments and keep things diverse. Consider going marketweight overall, but maybe give those value stocks a little extra love. And keep a close watch on those trade talks and economic numbers. As for specific stocks, Communications Services look undervalued and might be a good buy. Remember this is just a high level overview, and I'm not a financial advisor. That's all for today's Spy Trader! Stay safe, stay informed, and I'll catch you on the next one!

Wednesday Jun 04, 2025

Fresh news and strategies for traders. SPY Trader episode #1214.
What's up, Spy Traders! It's your pal, Penny Pincher, here, and it's 12 pm on Wednesday, June 4th, 2025 (Pacific). Let's dive into what's shaking up the market today. First, the big picture: The S&P 500 had a great May, up about 6%, and is slightly positive for the year. Historically, a strong May has often meant good things for the next 12 months, so fingers crossed! Last week alone, we saw US stocks jump almost 2%, mainly thanks to tech, especially Nvidia.
Now, let's get into the nittygritty. Corporate earnings have been surprisingly good, especially in tech and healthcare. Nvidia absolutely crushed it. Their earnings blew past expectations, showing crazy strong demand for their AI chips, even with those trade restrictions in China. Financials are also doing their part, contributing positively to earnings growth.
Macrowise, things are a bit mixed. Inflation is still a concern, even though it's not as high as it used to be. Those tariffs could give it another boost. The unemployment rate is low. The Federal Reserve is likely to hold steady on interest rates. On the downside, the GDP growth forecast for 2025 has been trimmed from 2.1% to 1.7%.
Breaking news: Trade and tariff drama is causing some serious jitters. A U.S. trade court initially blocked most new US tariffs, but then a federal appeals court temporarily reinstated them. So, keep an eye on that. The European Central Bank is expected to cut rates but is also watching the tariff situation carefully.
So, what's the play? Expect more ups and downs in the market, thanks to policy uncertainty and those wild advancements in AI. Earnings for the S&P 500 are expected to grow in the mid to highsingle digits for 2025. Given all the uncertainty, consider diversifying your investments across the globe.
Trading recommendations? Given Nvidia's stellar performance and the ongoing AI boom, I'd say keep a close watch on NVDA and related tech stocks. However, be mindful of the volatility and consider setting stoploss orders to protect your gains. Diversifying into global markets might also provide some cushion against any unexpected policy shocks here at home. Remember, I'm just a funny podcast host and not a financial advisor! Do your own research and maybe talk to a pro before making any big moves. Until next time, happy trading!

Wednesday Jun 04, 2025

Fresh news and strategies for traders. SPY Trader episode #1213.
Alright, alright, alright, Spy Traders, it's your pal Finny the Finance Ferret here, and it's 6 am on Wednesday, June 4th, 2025, Pacific time. Time to dive into what's shakin' in the stock market this fine morning! Let's get this bread!
So, the big picture: the market's been on a bit of a tear lately. Tuesday saw the S&P 500 jump 0.58%, the Nasdaq popped 0.81%, and even the Dow Jones had a good day, adding 0.51% for its fourth straight win. We are seeing green, folks! In fact, the S&P 500 had its best month in May in about a year and a half. The Nasdaq is finally in positive territory for the year. Some folks over at Deutsche Bank are even saying the S&P 500 could hit a record high by the end of the year, projecting a 10% upside from where we were on Tuesday. But don't get too excited just yet. Some believe the optimism might already be baked into the price, so the summer gains might be limited. Keep your powder dry!
Tech stocks are leading the charge, and you know who's the king of the hill again? NVIDIA! Yep, they've reclaimed their spot as the world's most valuable company. The chip sector in general is looking strong, with Nvidia, Broadcom, ON Semiconductor, Microchip Technology, Micron, and Intel all seeing gains. Energy stocks are also contributing to the upside, so there is more than just tech driving the market today. On the other hand, on May 30th, the energy and consumer discretionary sectors lagged.
Now, let's talk about the stuff that's making headlines. Trade tensions are still a big deal, with President Trump planning to double tariffs on steel and aluminum. The OECD even downgraded its growth forecasts, blaming tariffs. And it looks like court rulings on tariffs aren't helping either, with one ruling getting stayed by an appeals court. It's a big mess.
Earnings season has been pretty good overall, especially for tech and healthcare. NVIDIA's earnings confirmed that AI chips are still hot property. Dollar General also surprised everyone with betterthanexpected results. Speaking of companies, Hewlett Packard jumped in afterhours trading on strong quarterly results, while CrowdStrike took a tumble after giving some weaker revenue guidance. That's the way the cookie crumbles!
On the macro side, the OECD isn't too optimistic, downgrading growth forecasts for the U.S. to 1.6% and global growth to 2.9%, all thanks to those pesky tariffs. They also think inflation could creep up to almost 4% by the end of the year. The job market is still looking good, but there's a worry that tariffs might put a damper on hiring. Inflation is inching closer to the Fed's target, but some folks think tariffs could push it up again.
So, what should you do with all this info? Well, first off, stay invested and diversified. Don't put all your eggs in one basket! Consider overweighting U.S. largecap and midcap stocks, as they might benefit from higher earnings. Keep a close eye on those tariff developments – they're a real mood killer. Also, watch out for those key economic reports like the jobs report and inflation data. For your sectors you should look at, keep betting on tech, especially the semiconductor and AI plays. Consider bulking up on defensive sectors like consumer staples and utilities in case things get rocky. And keep an eye on the energy sector, given all the geopolitical stuff going on.
And hey, don't forget that some analysts think international markets might keep outperforming, so maybe spread the love around the globe a bit. Remember, I'm just a financial ferret, not your financial advisor. This is just my take on things, so chat with a pro before making any big moves. Happy trading, and may the odds be ever in your favor!

Copyright 2024 All rights reserved.

Podcast Powered By Podbean

Version: 20241125